Estimating Chinese Military Spending
Johns Hopkins Report
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27 March 2025 (Thursday)
Estimating Chinese Military Spending
Johns Hopkins Report
By Wendell Minnick (Whiskey Mike) 顏文德
TAIPEI - No one can rival Johns Hopkins in my book. This case study on Chinese military spending is just one example of why I am a fan.
Understanding adversaries’ military investment is critical to understanding their decision-making and to formulating sound US national defense strategies and policies. This understanding is complicated, however, by adversaries’ lack of transparency about and reporting of their defense spending. Our Johns Hopkins Applied Physics Laboratory (APL) team developed novel approaches to monitor the modernization of adversarial, or red, forces and predict the quality and quantity of their investments. We reviewed the limited research on red force cost estimating efforts to capture best practices and deficiencies and then used these findings to develop a new methodological approach.
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